MTI Warns of Electricity Tariff Hike – Oil Prices to Blame in 2025

Singapore’s Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) released a critical MTI energy prices update in June 2025, warning consumers and businesses to brace for higher electricity rates in the coming months. This warning stems directly from the sharp rebound in global oil prices, a key driver of energy costs in oil-dependent economies like Singapore. The ministry’s announcement points to the ripple effects of geopolitical tensions and supply constraints that have pushed crude oil benchmarks past the US$100 per barrel mark for the first time since early 2023.

As Singapore relies heavily on imported natural gas, which is indexed to global oil prices, the fuel price impact on electricity generation has become unavoidable. MTI’s data show a projected 12% increase in electricity tariffs for Q3 2025, compared to the previous quarter. This is the steepest quarterly rise since the post-pandemic recovery spike in 2022.

MTI Warns of Electricity Tariff Hike – Oil Prices to Blame in 2025

Key Drivers Behind the Electricity Tariff Hike in 2025

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The fuel price impact is largely being driven by tightening oil supply from major producers, including OPEC+, which extended voluntary production cuts through Q4 2025. Additionally, disruptions in key shipping routes due to conflict in the Middle East and extreme weather events affecting LNG infrastructure in Asia have contributed to volatile energy markets.

Singapore’s Energy Market Authority (EMA) stated that power generation companies are under increasing cost pressure due to higher liquefied natural gas (LNG) import prices. The electricity rates passed on to consumers are a direct reflection of these external supply shocks.

June 2025 Tariff Overview: What’s Changing?

Here’s a snapshot of the anticipated changes in electricity tariffs as reported in the latest MTI energy prices update:

Category
Q2 2025 Tariff (SGD/kWh)
Q3 2025 Tariff (SGD/kWh)
Percentage Increase
Residential
27.56
30.87
+12.0%
Commercial (Small Users)
25.10
28.11
+12.0%
Industrial (Large Users)
23.80
26.66
+12.0%

This consistent hike across categories suggests a uniform response to global energy price pressures. Households and small businesses are advised to adopt energy-saving measures or consider switching to fixed-price plans where feasible.

Broader Economic Implications of Higher Electricity Rates

Rising electricity tariffs are expected to exert inflationary pressure across multiple sectors. Analysts forecast a marginal rise in Singapore’s core inflation rate to 4.2% by August 2025. Industries with high energy intensity, such as manufacturing and logistics, may face operational cost challenges, potentially leading to increased consumer prices.

The government is exploring targeted subsidies for vulnerable households and is expected to announce support measures during the upcoming National Day Rally. MTI has also indicated plans to accelerate the diversification of Singapore’s energy mix, including greater investment in regional power grids and hydrogen fuel research.

What Consumers and Businesses Can Do Now

In response to the MTI’s alert, consumers are encouraged to monitor their monthly usage and explore available rebates through government schemes such as U-Save. Businesses, particularly SMEs, can tap into energy efficiency grants to upgrade to more sustainable technologies.

Industry experts also recommend that consumers regularly compare open electricity market retailers to find the most competitive rates during this high-cost period. Forward planning is essential to manage the fuel price impact effectively.

Conclusion

The June 2025 MTI energy prices update is a timely reminder of how deeply global oil markets influence Singapore’s domestic energy costs. With electricity rates set to rise sharply, the government, businesses, and individuals must work together to reduce dependence on fossil fuels, adopt efficient energy practices, and support long-term solutions that enhance national energy security.

FAQ

What is causing the increase in Singapore’s electricity tariffs in 2025?

The rise is mainly due to soaring global oil prices and higher costs for imported LNG, both of which are used in Singapore’s power generation.

How much are electricity rates expected to rise?

MTI projects a 12% increase in tariffs for Q3 2025 compared to Q2, with residential rates going from 27.56 to 30.87 cents per kWh.

What is MTI doing to mitigate the impact?

The government is planning targeted subsidies, exploring regional energy partnerships, and increasing funding for energy diversification efforts.

Can households reduce the impact of higher tariffs?

Yes. Households can adopt energy-saving appliances, monitor consumption, and switch to fixed-rate plans. Rebates are also available for eligible families.

Are there long-term solutions being implemented?

Yes, including investments in hydrogen, solar, and regional interconnectivity to reduce reliance on imported fossil fuels.

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